Academic writing


Refereed works

  • Woodward, A., Rivers, C. Case investigation and contact tracing in U.S. state and local health departments: sustaining capacities and applying lessons learned from the COVID-19 pandemic. (2023). Health Security.
  • Woodward, A., Rivers, C. Building case investigation and contact tracing programs in US state and local health departments: a conceptual framework. (2023). Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness. doi:10.1017/dmp.2023.205
  • Phelan, A., Sorrell, E., Standley, C., Watson, C., Sauer, L., Rivers, M. COVID-19 has left the world less prepared for an influenza pandemic. (2023). Nature Medicine. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-023-02340-5
  • Kraemer, M., Scarpino, S., Marivate, V., Gutierrez, B., Xu, B., Lee, G., Hawkins, G., Rivers, C., Pigott, D., Katz, R., Brownstein, S. (2021). Data curation during a pandemic and lessons learned from COVID-19. Nature Computational Science, 1(1), 9-10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43588-020-00015-6
  • Pollett, S., Johansson, M., Reich, N., Brett-Major,  D., Del Valle, S., Venkatramanan, S., Lowe, R., Porco, T., Maljkvoci Berry, I., Deshpande, A., Kraemer, M., Blazes, D., Pan-ngum, W., Vespignani, A., Mate, S., Silal, S., Kandula, S., Sippy, R., Quandelacy, T., Morgan, J., Ball, J., Morton, L., Althouse, B., Pavlin, J., van Panhuis, W., Riley, S., Biggerstaff, M., Viboud, C., Brady, O., Rivers, C. (2021). Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines. PLOS Medicine 18(10): e1003793. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003793. Impact: This is the first guideline for the reporting of infectious disease models. It has been adopted as policy by the Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
  • Reopening K-12 Schools During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Prioritizing Health, Equity, and Communities. (2020). Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/25858. Impact: This summer 2020 report was the first major report to discuss school reopening in the context of COVID-19. It was cited in the reopening plans for the states of Maryland, Virginia, Connecticut, and Minnesota. Soon after this report was published I was invited to testify in front of the House Oversight Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Crisis on school reopening. I was joined by former Secretary of Education Arne Duncan, among other witnesses.
  • Pollett, S., Johansson, M., Biggerstaff, M., Morton, L.C., Bazaco, S.L., Major, D.M.B., Stewart-Ibarra, A.M., Pavlin, J.A., Mate, S., Sippy, R. and Hartman, L.J., Reich, N., Berry, I.M., Chretien, J.P., Althouse, B., Myer, D., Viboud, C., Rivers, C. 2020. Identification and evaluation of epidemic prediction and forecasting reporting guidelines: A systematic review and a call for action. Epidemics, 33, p.100400. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2020.100400
  • Pollett, S., & Rivers, C. (2020). Social media and the new world of scientific communication during the COVID-19 pandemic. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 71(16), 2184-2186. https://doi.org/10.1093/cid/ciaa553
  • Li, R., Rivers, C., Tan, Q., Murray, M. B., Toner, E., & Lipsitch, M. (2020). Estimated demand for US hospital inpatient and intensive care unit beds for patients with COVID-19 based on comparisons with Wuhan and Guangzhou, China. JAMA Network Open, 3(5), e208297-e208297. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.8297. Impact: This paper has been cited over 150 times.
  • Kobokovich, A. L., Hosangadi, D., & Rivers, C. (2020). Supporting social distancing for COVID-19 mitigation through community-based volunteer networks. American Journal of Public Health, 110(8), 1167-1168. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2020.305740
  • Rivers, C., Pollett, S., & Viboud, C. (2020). The opportunities and challenges of an Ebola modeling research coordination group. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 14(7), e0008158. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0008158
  • Lee, W. N., Stück, D., Konty, K., Rivers, C., Brown, C. R., Zbikowski, S. M., & Foschini, L. (2020). Large-scale influenza vaccination promotion on a mobile app platform: a randomized controlled trial. Vaccine, 38(18), 3508-3514. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.11.053

Monographs and policy reports


Refereed works

  • Watson, C., Toner, E. S., Shearer, M. P., Rivers, C. M., Meyer, D., Hurtado, C., … & Inglesby, T. (2019). Clade X: A Pandemic Exercise. Health Security, 17 (5), 410-417. https://doi.org/10.1089/hs.2019.0097

  • George, D. B., Taylor, W., Shaman, J., Rivers, C. M., Paul, B., O’Toole, T., Johansson, M., Hirschman, L., Biggerstaff, M., Asher, J. & Reich, N. G. (2019). Technology to advance infectious disease forecasting for outbreak management. Nature Communications, 10(1). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-11901-7

  • Rivers, C. M., Chretien, J. P., Riley, S., Pavlin, J. A., Woodward, A., Brett-Major, D., Berry, I. M., Morton, L., Jarman, R. G., Biggerstaff, M., Johansson, M. A., Reich, N.G., Meyer, D., Snyder, M. R., Pollett, S. (2019). Using outbreak science” to strengthen the use of models during epidemics. Nature Communications, 10(1), 3102. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-11067-2. Impact: This paper has been cited over 100 times. It served as one of the precursors for the establishment of the Center for Forecasting and Outbreak Analytics.

  • Inglesby, T., Cicero, A., Rivers, C. M., & Zhang, W. (2019). Biosafety and biosecurity in the era of synthetic biology: Meeting the challenges in China and the US. Journal of Biosafety and Biosecurity, 1(2), 73-74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jobb.2019.09.003

  • Ravi, S., Snyder, M., Rivers, C. M. (2018). Review of International Efforts to Strengthen the Global Outbreak Response System Since the 2014-16 West Africa Ebola Epidemic. Health Policy and Planning, Volume 34, Issue 1, February 2019, Pages 47–54, https://doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czy102

  • Ball, J. D., Prosperi, M. A., Brown, A., Chen, X., Kenah, E., Yang, Y., Cummings, D. & Rivers, C. M. (2018). The role of benzathine penicillin G in predicting and preventing all-cause acute respiratory disease in military recruits: 1991–2017. Epidemiology & Infection, 146(14), 1854-1860. doi:10.1017/S0950268818001838

    Monographs and policy reports

  • Rivers, C., Trotochaud, M., Martin, E., Sauer, L. Evaluation of the UN OCHA Centre for Humanitarian Data. (2019). Commissioned report for UN stakeholders; not publicly available.

  • Rivers, C., Cicero, A., Connell, N., Trotochaud, M., Warmbrod, L., Song, J., Inglesby, T., Zhang, W. (2019). Biosafety and Biosecurity in the Era of Synthetic Biology: Perspectives from the United States and China. Meeting report. https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/our-work/pubs\_archive/pubs-pdfs/2019/190916-ChinaUSmtgReport.pdf.

  • Watson, C., Kirk Sell, T., Watson, M., Rivers, C., Hurtado, C., Shearer, M., Gelata, A., Inglesby, T. (2018). Technologies to address Global Catastrophic Biological Risks. Monograph.


Refereed works

  • Lofgren, E. T. (2016). Risks of death and severe disease in patients with Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus, 2012–2015. American Journal of Epidemiology, 184(6), 460-464. doi:10.1093/aje/kww013
  • Diseases, 9(6): e0003652. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0003652. Impact: This paper has been cited over 300 times.
  • Majumder, M. S., Rivers, C.M., Lofgren, E., & Fisman, D. (2014). Estimation of MERS-Coronavirus reproductive number and case fatality rate for the spring 2014 Saudi Arabia outbreak: Insights from publicly available data. PLoS Currents Outbreaks 18(6). doi:10.1371/currents.outbreaks.98d2f8f3382d84f390736cd5f5fe133c. Impact: This paper has been cited over 150 times.
  • Lofgren, E. T., Halloran, M. E., Rivers, C. M., Drake, J. M., Porco, T. C., Lewis, B, Yang, W., Vespignani, A., Shaman, J., Eisenberg, J.N., & Eisenberg, M. C. (2014). Mathematical models: A key tool for outbreak response. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 111(51), 18095-18096. doi:10.1073/pnas.1421551111. Impact: This paper has been cited over 100 times.
  • Rivers, C. M., Lofgren, E. T., Marathe, M., Eubank, S., & Lewis, B. L. (2014). Modeling the impact of interventions on an epidemic of Ebola in Sierra Leone and Liberia. PLoS Currents Outbreaks 6(6). doi:10.1371/currents.outbreaks.4d41fe5d6c05e9df30ddce33c66d084c. Impact: This paper has been cited over 250 times.
  • Rivers, C. M., & Lewis, B. L. (2014). Ethical research standards in a world of big data. F1000Research, 3(38), 38. Impact: This paper has been cited over 150 times; research groups have used it to guide their approach to privacy when using social media data.
  • Lau, E. H., Zheng, J., Tsang, T. K., Liao, Q., Lewis, B., Brownstein, J. S., Sanders, S., Wong, J.Y., Mekaru, S.R., Rivers, C. M., & Wu, P. (2014). Accuracy of epidemiological inferences based on publicly available information: Retrospective comparative analysis of line lists of human cases infected with influenza A (H7N9) in China. BMC Medicine, 12(1), 88. doi:10.1186/1741-7015-12-88
  • Young, S. D., Rivers, C. M., & Lewis, B. (2014). Methods of using real-time social media technologies for detection and remote monitoring of HIV outcomes. Preventive Medicine, 63, 112-115. doi:10.1016/j.ypmed.2014.01.024. Impact: This paper has been cited over 200 times.
  • Rivers, C. M., Lum, K., Lewis, B., & Eubank, S. (2013). Estimating human cases of Avian Influenza A (H7N9) from poultry exposure. PLoS Currents Outbreaks 15(5). doi:10.1371/currents.outbreaks.264e737b489bef383fbcbaba60daf928
  • Parikh, N., Swarup, S., Stretz, P. E., Rivers, C. M., Lewis, B. L., Marathe, M. V., Eubank, S.G., Barrett, C.L., Lum, K., & Chungbaek, Y. (2013). Modeling human behavior in the aftermath of a hypothetical improvised nuclear detonation. In Proceedings of the 2013 International 6Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems (pp. 949-956).Monographs and policy reports
  • National Science and Technology Council Report Towards Epidemic Prediction: Federal Efforts and Opportunities in Outbreak Modeling. (2016). Report from the Executive Office of the President. https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/NSTC/towards\_epidemic\_prediction-federal\_efforts\_and\_opportunities.pdf
  • Health of the Force. (2017). Report for US Army senior leaders. https://phc.amedd.army.mil/topics/campaigns/hof/Pages/default.aspx
  • Health of the Force. (2016). Report for US Army senior leaders.
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